Market Categories
MANSHUR offers prediction markets across seven categories. Each has unique characteristics and resolution sources.
Economics
What's Traded:
- GDP growth and economic indicators
- Interest rate decisions
- Inflation data
- Employment statistics
- Currency movements
Popular Markets:
- "Will UAE GDP exceed 5% growth in 2026?"
- "Will the Fed cut rates in January 2026?"
- "Will US unemployment stay below 4%?"
Resolution Sources:
- Federal Reserve statements
- Bureau of Labor Statistics
- UAE Federal Statistics Centre
- Central bank announcements
Trading Tips:
- Economic data follows predictable release schedules
- Markets often move before official announcements
- Watch for leading indicators
Politics
What's Traded:
- Election outcomes
- Legislation passage
- Policy decisions
- International agreements
- Leadership changes
Popular Markets:
- "Who will win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"
- "Will the EU pass new AI regulations in 2026?"
- "Will UAE announce new economic reforms?"
Resolution Sources:
- Official election results
- Government announcements
- Legislative records
Trading Tips:
- Polls can be unreliable - markets often outperform
- Watch for primary/preliminary results
- Consider regional differences
Sports
What's Traded:
- Championship winners
- Match outcomes
- Player performance
- Transfer rumors
- Award winners
Popular Markets:
- "Who will win the Premier League 2025/26?"
- "Will [Player] score in the Champions League Final?"
- "Will [Team] make the playoffs?"
Resolution Sources:
- Official league standings
- Match results from governing bodies
- Sports federation records
Forecasting Tips:
- Injuries significantly impact probabilities
- Home/away performance matters
- Watch for lineup announcements
Technology
What's Traded:
- Product launches
- Company milestones
- AI developments
- Tech IPOs
- Adoption metrics
Popular Markets:
- "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone in 2026?"
- "Will GPT-5 launch before July 2025?"
- "Will Tesla deliver 2M vehicles in 2025?"
Resolution Sources:
- Company announcements
- SEC filings
- Official product pages
- Press releases
Trading Tips:
- Tech rumors are often inaccurate
- Earnings calls provide forward guidance
- Watch developer conferences
Crypto
What's Traded:
- Price targets
- ETF approvals
- Network upgrades
- Exchange events
- Regulatory decisions
Popular Markets:
- "Will Bitcoin exceed $150K by end of 2025?"
- "Will Ethereum complete [upgrade] in Q1 2026?"
- "Will a new Bitcoin ETF be approved?"
Resolution Sources:
- CoinGecko / CoinMarketCap
- Blockchain explorers
- SEC announcements
- Exchange data
Trading Tips:
- Crypto is highly volatile - prices can move fast
- Technical upgrades often face delays
- Regulatory news drives major moves
Entertainment
What's Traded:
- Award winners (Oscars, Grammys, etc.)
- Box office records
- Streaming milestones
- TV show outcomes
- Celebrity events
Popular Markets:
- "Which film will win Best Picture 2026?"
- "Will [movie] gross $1B worldwide?"
- "Which artist will have the #1 album of 2025?"
Resolution Sources:
- Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences
- Box Office Mojo
- Billboard
- Nielsen ratings
Trading Tips:
- Awards have voting patterns - study past winners
- Opening weekend predicts total box office
- Critic reviews correlate with awards
World
What's Traded:
- Geopolitical events
- Climate milestones
- Space exploration
- International conflicts
- Global records
Popular Markets:
- "Will Ukraine ceasefire occur in 2026?"
- "Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?"
- "Will SpaceX land on Mars by 2030?"
Resolution Sources:
- United Nations
- NOAA / climate agencies
- Space agencies (NASA, SpaceX)
- Reuters / AP
Trading Tips:
- Geopolitical events are hard to predict
- Climate data has seasonal patterns
- Space timelines often slip
Finding Markets
Browse by Category
- Go to Markets page
- Click category tabs at the top
- Browse available markets
Search
Use the search bar to find specific:
- Topics ("Bitcoin", "elections")
- Events ("World Cup", "Fed meeting")
- Dates ("2026", "Q1")
Filters
Filter markets by:
- Volume - Most actively traded
- Ending Soon - Resolving within 7 days
- New - Recently created
- Featured - Editor's picks
Key Takeaways
- Seven categories cover diverse topics
- Each category has specific resolution sources
- Different categories suit different expertise
- Use filters to find relevant markets
- Start with categories you understand