Resolution Sources
Every MANSHUR market has a designated resolution source - the official authority that determines the outcome. Understanding these sources helps you trade with confidence.
Why Resolution Sources Matter
Resolution sources ensure:
- Objectivity - Outcomes based on facts, not opinions
- Verifiability - Anyone can confirm the result
- Consistency - Same standards applied to all markets
- Trust - No disputes about what happened
Source Categories
Government & Official Statistics
For economic, political, and regulatory markets:
| Source | Used For | Example Markets |
|---|---|---|
| UAE Federal Competitiveness and Statistics Centre | UAE economic data | GDP, employment, trade |
| US Bureau of Labor Statistics | US employment data | Jobs reports, unemployment |
| Federal Reserve | US monetary policy | Interest rate decisions |
| European Central Bank | EU monetary policy | ECB rate decisions |
| World Bank | Global development data | Country GDP rankings |
Financial Data Providers
For markets involving prices, indices, and valuations:
| Source | Used For | Example Markets |
|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg | Official financial data | Stock prices, indices |
| Reuters | Market data | Currency rates, commodities |
| NYSE/NASDAQ | US stock prices | Company stock prices |
| S&P Global | Index values | S&P 500 closing prices |
| MSCI | International indices | Emerging market indices |
Cryptocurrency Data
For crypto price and network markets:
| Source | Used For | Example Markets |
|---|---|---|
| CoinGecko | Crypto prices | BTC/ETH price targets |
| CoinMarketCap | Market cap data | Top 10 rankings |
| Etherscan | Ethereum network data | Gas fees, transactions |
| Blockchain.com | Bitcoin network data | Hash rate, blocks |
Sports Organizations
For sports outcome markets:
| Source | Used For | Example Markets |
|---|---|---|
| FIFA | International football | World Cup results |
| Premier League | English football | PL standings, matches |
| ATP/WTA | Tennis | Tournament winners |
| NBA | Basketball | NBA Finals, standings |
| IOC | Olympics | Medal counts, events |
Company & Technology Sources
For business and tech markets:
| Source | Used For | Example Markets |
|---|---|---|
| SEC Filings | US company data | Earnings, acquisitions |
| Company Press Releases | Official announcements | Product launches |
| App Store/Play Store | App rankings | Downloads, rankings |
| Steam | Game data | Player counts, releases |
Media & Entertainment
For entertainment markets:
| Source | Used For | Example Markets |
|---|---|---|
| Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences | Oscars | Award winners |
| Box Office Mojo | Film revenue | Box office records |
| Nielsen | TV ratings | Viewership data |
| Billboard | Music charts | Chart positions |
News & Events
For current events:
| Source | Used For | Example Markets |
|---|---|---|
| Associated Press | Breaking news | Major events |
| Reuters | International news | Geopolitical events |
| Official Government Statements | Policy decisions | Legislation, treaties |
How Sources Are Selected
When creating a market, we select sources based on:
- Authority - Is this the official/primary source?
- Reliability - Does this source have a track record of accuracy?
- Accessibility - Can traders verify the data themselves?
- Timeliness - Will data be available promptly?
- Specificity - Does the source provide the exact data needed?
Backup Sources
Most markets designate backup sources in case the primary is unavailable:
Example:
Primary source: CoinGecko BTC/USD price Backup source: CoinMarketCap BTC/USD price If both unavailable: Average of Binance, Coinbase, Kraken
Source Limitations
Some important notes:
Data Revisions
Economic data is often revised. We use:
- Preliminary data if specified
- Final data if specified
- Default: First official release
Time Zones
All resolution times are specified in:
- UTC for global markets
- Local time for region-specific markets (specified in description)
Rounding
When prices/values are involved:
- We use the exact figure from the source
- Rounding rules specified if applicable
Verifying Sources Yourself
You can check resolution sources before trading:
- Read the market description - Sources are always listed
- Visit the source website - Confirm data availability
- Check historical data - See how sources reported past events
- Note any caveats - Revision schedules, delays, etc.
Disputing Source Data
If you believe a source reported incorrectly:
- Document the discrepancy - Screenshots, links, timestamps
- Report to support - Within 24 hours of resolution
- Wait for review - Resolution team investigates
- Resolution stands or is corrected - Based on evidence
See disputed resolutions for the full process.
Key Takeaways
- Every market has a designated resolution source
- Sources are selected for authority and reliability
- Backup sources are specified for important markets
- You can verify sources before trading
- Disputes are handled through a formal process
Understanding resolution sources helps you make better predictions and trade with confidence.